TrustBet Institutional Deck
Generated 10/7/2026, 11:01:44 PM
100% Autonomous • Zero Human-In-The-Loop • Pre-Post Liquidity Mapping
Outright Winner Capture Rate
54.2%
1163 outright winners of 2145 completed races
Board Presence
91.6%
Put 1+ horses In-The-Money in 1965 of 2145 completed races
Average Winner Odds
4.32/1
Based on Morning Line Odds across 1163 outright winners
Vulnerable Target Accuracy
48.4%
1045/2159 vulnerable targets successfully identified across all evaluated races (including 36 where staked picks scratched). Outrider selectively passed on 22 staked races lacking mathematical vulnerability.
Wildcard Alpha
805
High-Odds ITM Finishes (Up to 20/1)
Risk & Edge
Simulated Morning Line Projection · Net ROI
+155.1%
Asymmetric Edge: 474 Exactas & 129 Trifectas | 14956.71u Track-Equivalent Yield on 5863.00u Simulated Staked Units
Simulated Staked Units 5863.00u · Track-Equivalent Yield 14956.71u · Net Unit Edge +9093.71u
*Theoretical yield based on Morning Line odds baseline. Live parimutuel tote settlement currently in beta.*
Max drawdown
5.1%
Peak 68.7u · trough 65.2u · at race 19 of 2145
Statistical significance
p < 0.0001
Sample 2145 of 2145 completed races
z 13.44 - Matrix 54.2% vs ultra-conservative baseline 40.0%
Algorithmic Execution Baselines
Raw matrix efficiency metrics independent of fiat staking strategies.
Exacta Matrix Break-Even
$54.30
Verified payout threshold required for profitability using a rigid 3-horse $2 Exacta Box.
Sequence Sweeps
142
Verified multi-race sequences (Pick 3/4/5) swept using strictly the 3-horse matrix. Always the sum of the Pick 3, Pick 4 and Pick 5+ counts below.
Strict Exacta Distribution
Combinatorial breakdown of matrix-secured exactas.
Top Value + Live Danger
242
51.1% of strict exactas
Top Value + Wildcard
138
29.1% of strict exactas
Live Danger + Wildcard
94
19.8% of strict exactas
Verified Multi-Leg Sequence Capture
Chronological density of horizontal exotic sequences across verified cards (Pick 3 through Pick 7).
ALPHA NOTE: Horizontal exotic sequence sweeps are tracked as isolated execution events. Multi-leg compounding payouts are strictly EXCLUDED from the baseline +155.1% Net ROI and risk metrics shown above.
Pick 3
76
Pick 4
36
Pick 5+
30
| Date | Track | Sequence |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | Belterra Park | Pick 4 (R3-R6) |
| Oct 6 | Finger Lakes | Pick 5 (R4-R8) |
| Oct 6 | Mountaineer Park | Pick 5 (R3-R7) |
| Oct 6 | Parx Racing | Pick 6 (R4-R9) |
| Oct 5 | Assiniboia Downs | Pick 4 (R1-R4) |
| Oct 5 | Finger Lakes | Pick 3 (R1-R3) |
| Oct 5 | Fort Erie | Pick 5 (R2-R6) |
| Oct 5 | Grants Pass Downs | Pick 4 (R5-R8) |
| Oct 5 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Pick 3 (R3-R5) |
| Oct 5 | Parx Racing | Pick 3 (R4-R6) |
| Oct 5 | Presque Isle Downs | Pick 4 (R2-R5) |
| Oct 4 | Albuquerque Downs | Pick 4 (R3-R6) |
| Oct 4 | Grants Pass Downs | Pick 6 (R3-R8) |
| Oct 4 | Lethbridge | Pick 6 (R2-R7) |
| Oct 4 | Santa Anita Park | Pick 3 (R1-R3) & Pick 3 (R8-R10) |
| Oct 3 | Albuquerque Downs | Pick 3 (R1-R3) |
| Oct 3 | Belmont Park | Pick 3 (R3-R5) |
| Oct 3 | Belterra Park | Pick 6 (R1-R6) |
| Oct 3 | Camarero Race Track | Pick 4 (R1-R4) |
| Oct 3 | Charles Town | Pick 5 (R4-R8) |
| Oct 3 | Evangeline Downs | Pick 5 (R3-R7) |
| Oct 3 | FanDuel Sportsbook and Horse Racing | Pick 3 (R6-R8) |
| Oct 3 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Pick 7 (R5-R11) |
| Oct 3 | Lone Star Park | Pick 3 (R10-R12) |
| Oct 3 | Los Alamitos | Pick 7 (R1-R7) |
| Oct 3 | Meadowlands | Pick 3 (R4-R6) |
| Oct 2 | Belmont Park | Pick 3 (R1-R3) |
| Oct 2 | Belterra Park | Pick 3 (R1-R3) |
| Oct 2 | Charles Town | Pick 3 (R6-R8) |
| Oct 2 | Delaware Park | Pick 3 (R2-R4) |
| Oct 2 | Remington Park | Pick 5 (R1-R5) |
| Oct 2 | Thistledown | Pick 6 (R1-R6) |
| Oct 1 | Belterra Park | Pick 4 (R1-R4) & Pick 3 (R6-R8) |
| Oct 1 | Charles Town | Pick 3 (R4-R6) |
| Oct 1 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Pick 3 (R1-R3) & Pick 3 (R5-R7) |
| Oct 1 | Presque Isle Downs | Pick 5 (R1-R5) |
| Oct 1 | Remington Park | Pick 4 (R4-R7) |
| Oct 1 | Thistledown | Pick 3 (R6-R8) |
| Oct 1 | Woodbine | Pick 3 (R1-R3) |
| Sept 30 | Assiniboia Downs | Pick 3 (R1-R3) |
| Sept 30 | Belterra Park | Pick 3 (R2-R4) |
| Sept 30 | Delaware Park | Pick 3 (R6-R8) |
| Sept 30 | Presque Isle Downs | Pick 3 (R6-R8) |
| Sept 30 | Thistledown | Pick 3 (R1-R3) & Pick 4 (R5-R8) |
| Sept 29 | Assiniboia Downs | Pick 7 (R1-R7) |
| Sept 29 | Finger Lakes | Pick 6 (R2-R7) |
| Sept 29 | Fort Erie | Pick 3 (R3-R5) |
| Sept 29 | Louisiana Downs | Pick 7 (R1-R7) |
| Sept 29 | Parx Racing | Pick 4 (R2-R5) & Pick 3 (R7-R9) |
| Sept 29 | Thistledown | Pick 4 (R3-R6) |
| Sept 26 | Albuquerque Downs | Pick 3 (R3-R5) |
| Sept 26 | Belterra Park | Pick 3 (R1-R3) |
| Sept 26 | Charles Town | Pick 3 (R3-R5) |
| Sept 26 | Churchill Downs | Pick 3 (R5-R7) |
| Sept 26 | Lethbridge | Pick 4 (R4-R7) |
| Sept 26 | Remington Park | Pick 7 (R4-R10) |
| Sept 26 | Santa Anita Park | Pick 4 (R7-R10) |
| Sept 26 | SWF | Pick 6 (R4-R9) |
| Sept 25 | Belmont Park | Pick 6 (R2-R7) |
| Sept 25 | Charles Town | Pick 3 (R1-R3) |
| Sept 25 | Gulfstream Park | Pick 3 (R6-R8) |
| Sept 25 | Meadowlands | Pick 5 (R1-R5) |
| Sept 25 | Prairie Meadows | Pick 4 (R2-R5) |
| Sept 24 | Delaware Park | Pick 4 (R1-R4) |
| Sept 24 | Lone Star Park | Pick 4 (R1-R4) |
| Sept 23 | Belterra Park | Pick 4 (R1-R4) |
| Sept 23 | Delaware Park | Pick 4 (R1-R4) & Pick 3 (R6-R8) |
| Sept 23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Pick 4 (R1-R4) |
| Sept 22 | Fort Erie | Pick 3 (R3-R5) |
| Sept 22 | Presque Isle Downs | Pick 3 (R5-R7) |
| Sept 22 | Thistledown | Pick 4 (R5-R8) |
| Sept 21 | Finger Lakes | Pick 3 (R1-R3) & Pick 3 (R6-R8) |
| Sept 21 | Grants Pass Downs | Pick 3 (R1-R3) & Pick 3 (R5-R7) |
| Sept 21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Pick 3 (R7-R9) |
| Sept 21 | Presque Isle Downs | Pick 3 (R4-R6) |
| Sept 20 | Belmont Park | Pick 3 (R7-R9) |
| Sept 20 | Churchill Downs | Pick 5 (R6-R10) |
| Sept 20 | Gulfstream Park | Pick 4 (R5-R8) |
| Sept 20 | Woodbine | Pick 3 (R3-R5) & Pick 4 (R7-R10) |
| Sept 19 | Belmont Park | Pick 3 (R6-R8) |
| Sept 19 | Churchill Downs | Pick 3 (R3-R5) |
| Sept 19 | Gulfstream Park | Pick 3 (R6-R8) |
| Sept 19 | Woodbine | Pick 4 (R8-R11) |
| Sept 18 | Belmont Park | Pick 3 (R7-R9) |
| Sept 18 | Gulfstream Park | Pick 3 (R6-R8) |
| Sept 17 | Belterra Park | Pick 3 (R5-R7) |
| Sept 17 | Canterbury Park | Pick 3 (R6-R8) |
| Sept 17 | Woodbine | Pick 5 (R2-R6) |
| Sept 16 | Churchill Downs | Pick 3 (R1-R3) |
| Sept 16 | Delaware Park | Pick 3 (R1-R3) |
| Sept 16 | Sandown Park | Pick 5 (R2-R6) |
| Sept 15 | Assiniboia Downs | Pick 3 (R5-R7) |
| Sept 15 | Finger Lakes | Pick 3 (R5-R7) |
| Sept 15 | Louisiana Downs | Pick 4 (R4-R7) |
| Sept 15 | Mountaineer Park | Pick 5 (R1-R5) |
| Sept 15 | Parx Racing | Pick 3 (R8-R10) |
| Sept 15 | Presque Isle Downs | Pick 3 (R2-R4) |
| Sept 13 | Churchill Downs | Pick 3 (R5-R7) |
| Sept 13 | Curragh | Pick 6 (R2-R7) |
| Sept 13 | Los Alamitos Race Course | Pick 4 (R5-R8) |
| Sept 13 | Mountaineer Park | Pick 4 (R3-R6) |
| Sept 13 | Woodbine | Pick 3 (R1-R3) |
| Sept 12 | Belterra Park | Pick 3 (R1-R3) & Pick 3 (R5-R7) |
| Sept 12 | Canterbury Park | Pick 4 (R4-R7) |
| Sept 12 | Churchill Downs | Pick 3 (R5-R7) |
| Sept 12 | Delaware Park | Pick 3 (R1-R3) |
| Sept 12 | Louisiana Downs | Pick 7 (R2-R8) |
| Sept 12 | Monmouth Park | Pick 3 (R4-R6) |
| Sept 12 | Prairie Meadows | Pick 5 (R5-R9) |
| Sept 12 | Woodbine | Pick 4 (R7-R10) |
| Sept 11 | Camarero Race Track | Pick 6 (R2-R7) |
| Sept 11 | Churchill Downs | Pick 3 (R5-R7) |
| Sept 11 | Doncaster | Pick 4 (R3-R6) |
| Sept 11 | Gulfstream Park | Pick 4 (R1-R4) |
| Sept 11 | Los Alamitos Race Course | Pick 4 (R5-R8) |
| Sept 11 | Salisbury | Pick 3 (R4-R6) |
| Sept 10 | Belterra Park | Pick 4 (R1-R4) |
| Sept 10 | Canterbury Park | Pick 5 (R1-R5) |
| Sept 10 | Remington Park | Pick 3 (R4-R6) |
| Sept 7 | Presque Isle Downs | Pick 3 (R3-R5) |
| Sept 7 | Saratoga | Pick 4 (R9-R12) |
| Sept 6 | Belterra Park | Pick 3 (R1-R3) |
| Sept 6 | Del Mar | Pick 3 (R2-R4) & Pick 4 (R6-R9) |
| Sept 6 | Saratoga | Pick 3 (R4-R6) |
| Sept 5 | Saratoga | Pick 3 (R1-R3) |
| Sept 4 | Albuquerque Downs | Pick 4 (R2-R5) & Pick 3 (R7-R9) |
| Sept 4 | Saratoga | Pick 3 (R1-R3) & Pick 4 (R5-R8) |
| Sept 3 | Salisbury | Pick 3 (R2-R4) |
| Sept 3 | Saratoga | Pick 3 (R6-R8) |